Statistical Hypothesis Testing
Statistical Hypothesis Testing
Basics of Hypothesis Testing
- Understand Hypothesis Testing as a statistical method that is used in making statistical decisions using experimental data.
- Familiarise with the term Null Hypothesis (H0), which is the statement being tested, usually a statement of no effect or no difference.
- Know the concept of Alternative Hypothesis (H1 or Ha), it is a statement that there is an effect or difference.
- Comprehend the Test Statistic, it is calculated from sample data and used in the test of hypothesis.
Types of Error
- Identify a Type I Error, when the null hypothesis is true, but is rejected. It is equal to the level of significance (α).
- Differentiate it from a Type II Error, when the null hypothesis is false, but erroneously not rejected. It is not usually possible to identify a Type II error, but it can be controlled.
Key Concepts
- Understand the concept of Level of Significance, typically a small predetermined value such as 0.05.
- Grasp the idea of the Critical Region, if the test statistic falls within this region, the null hypothesis is rejected.
- Know the P-Value, the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis would be rejected.
- The Power of the Test is the probability of correctly rejecting a false null hypothesis.
Steps in Hypothesis Testing
- Understand the general sequence in conducting a statistical hypothesis test: State the null and alternative hypotheses, choose the level of significance, estimate the probability of the sample outcome under the null hypothesis, reject or do not reject the null hypothesis.
- Recognise the different methods of hypothesis testing: Chi-Squared Test, Student’s T-Test, F-Test, each is suitable for the data and hypothesis being tested.
Context and Application
- Comprehend that hypothesis testing is used extensively in various fields like market research, drug testing, manufacturing quality control, etc.
- Understand the importance of considering both probabilities of Type I and Type II errors in interpreting results of tests.
Practice and Revision
- Regularly practise constructing hypotheses, and applying appropriate tests.
- Familiarise yourself with interpreting test results, including understanding statistical significance and making decisions based on p-values.
- Try a broad range of problems, recognising which types of test are suitable for which situations.
- Persist with challenging problems; understanding statistical hypothesis testing thoroughly is achievable with determination and effort.