Calculating Probabilities with a continuous random variable
Calculating Probabilities with a continuous random variable
Basics of Continuous Random Variables
- A continuous random variable is one which can take an infinite number of possible values. This is in contrast to a discrete random variable, which can only take distinct, separate values.
- The probability density function (pdf) of a continuous random variable signifies how probabilities are distributed across the range of possible values.
- Unlike discrete random variables, where individual outcomes have specific probabilities, the probability of a continuous random variable taking any exact value is always zero because there are infinite possible values it can take.
Calculating Probabilities with Continuous Random Variables
- To calculate probabilities with a continuous random variable, you’ll utilise the probability density function (pdf) and integration.
- The probability of a continuous random variable taking on a value within a certain range is given by the integral of the pdf over that range. In other words, you’re considering the area under the curve of the pdf over that interval.
- The definite integral from ‘a’ to ‘b’ of the pdf, denoted as ∫f(x)dx from a to b, is equal to the probability that the random variable takes a value within the interval [a, b].
- The total probability under the curve of a pdf for a continuous random variable is 1, reflecting that one of the possible outcomes must occur. This is represented as ∫f(x)dx from -∞ to ∞ = 1.
Properties and Applications of Continuous Random Variables
- The expected value (or mean) of a continuous random variable is calculated as the definite integral of x times the pdf over all possible values of x.
- The variance of a continuous random variable is calculated as the definite integral of (x - expected value)^2 times the pdf over all possible values of x.
Key Points to Remember
- Remember that the probability of a continuous random variable taking any exact value is zero.
- Calculation of probabilities for continuous random variables uses integration rather than simple multiplication and addition.
- The area under the curve of the pdf over an interval gives the probability that the random variable takes a value within that range.