Cash flow forecasts

Cash flow forecasts

What is a Cash Flow Forecast?

  • A cash flow forecast is a document that presents estimated inflows and outflows of cash in a business over a specific period of time.

  • It is a management tool used to predict the availability of cash in the business in the future.

  • This forecast can help identify periods of negative cash flow, where outgoing money exceeds incoming money, and periods of positive cash flow.

Components of Cash Flow Forecast

  • Inflows: These are the sources of cash coming into the business - sales income, sale of assets, investments, loans, etc.

  • Outflows: These are the expenses or payments going out of the business - raw materials, wages, rent, utilities, loan repayments, etc.

  • Net cash flow: This is calculated by subtracting the outflows from the inflows.

  • Opening balance: The amount of cash available at the start of the period.

  • Closing balance: Calculated by adding the opening balance to the net cash flow. This will be the opening balance for the next period.

Importance of Cash Flow Forecasts

  • Cash management: A cash flow forecast can predict when the company might run low on cash which would help the business to manage their cash properly and prevent insolvency.

  • Risk management: It helps in identifying potential dry spells and enables businesses to prepare in advance.

  • Investment decisions: It provides a financial overview that can inform and support important business decisions such as investments or expansions.

  • Lender and investor confidence: Sharing forecasts with potential investors and banks can increase their confidence in your business’s financial management.

Limitations of Cash Flow Forecasts

  • Predictive, not accurate: Cash flow forecasts predict future cash flows based on assumptions and past data, they’re not always 100% accurate.

  • Changes in market conditions: Unpredictable events such as changes in the economy or a sudden change in demand for a product can make the forecasts inaccurate.

  • Requires time and knowledge: Producing an accurate cash flow forecast requires a good understanding of the business and its financial situation, which not all business owners may have.