And Rule (multiplication) / Or Rule (addition for mutually exclusive events)
And Rule (multiplication) / Or Rule (addition for mutually exclusive events)
Understanding the And Rule
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The And Rule in probability concerns itself with two events happening at the same time - for example, flipping a coin and getting heads and also rolling a die and landing on a 6.
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The rule is formed on multiplication. If you want to know the probability of two events happening at the same time, multiply their individual probabilities together.
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This only works when the events are independent - that means the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of the other.
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For example, if event A has a probability of 0.5 and event B has a probability of 0.2, then the probability of both events (A and B) taking place is 0.5 x 0.2 = 0.1 or 10%.
Understanding the Or Rule
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The Or Rule in probability deals with one event or another happening - for example, flipping a coin and getting heads or also rolling a die and landing on a 6.
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The rule is based on addition. If you want to know the probability of one event or another event happening, add their individual probabilities together.
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However, this rule only strictly applies when the events are mutually exclusive - this means they cannot happen at the same time.
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For example, if event A has a probability of 0.5 and event B has a probability of 0.2, then the mutually exclusive probability of event A or B happening is 0.5 + 0.2 = 0.7 or 70%.
Mixed Problems
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In some cases, you might have to use both the And Rule and the Or Rule to solve complex probability problems.
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For example, if you’re looking at the likelihood of getting heads on a coin flip and rolling a six on a die (multiplication/And Rule) or drawing an ace from a deck of cards (addition/Or Rule).
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Always make sure you understand whether the events in question are independent or mutually exclusive before deciding which rule to use.
Important to Remember
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The total probability of all possible outcomes should always sum to one (or 100%). If it’s less than or more than this, make sure to check your calculations.
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Visualising these examples with Venn diagrams or tree diagrams can also be a helpful way to better understand them.